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Election 2015: Six Loudoun County races to watch

Turn on the TV for five minutes and you'd swear “2016” is the only election on the horizon.

But here in Loudoun, we know that couldn't be farther from the truth. Every seat in Virginia's House of Delegates, the Senate and on Loudoun's Board of Supervisors and School Board are up for grabs – that's well more than 30 contests, factoring in constitutional officers.

While all carry significant implications, several are particularly intriguing, whether because we expect a tight race or because of the colorful characters involved. Here are six elections in Loudoun to keep your eye on in 2015.

County Chairman
Incumbent Scott York, currently in office as Republican but running as an independent; Republican Charlie King; Democrat Phyllis Randall; Independent Tom Bellanca

It has been 15 years since the chairman of Loudoun County wasn't named Scott York, but this re-election battle looks to be his toughest yet. If King and Randall can lock down their party's base, that will leave York fighting for a huge majority of the centrist vote.

Even if York picks off some Rs and Ds and takes the moderate vote, it may not be enough in a race where just 25 to 35 percent of voters are likely to turn out.

Look for King and Randall to continue attacking York on the issue of trustworthiness in light of his re-election flip-flopping and a recent email showing a tight relationship between York and a leading land use attorney.

Meanwhile, the sitting chairman will talk about how the county has flourished during his terms, with low unemployment, poverty and much of the scenic rural west still intact.

Bellanca, who ran for chair as an independent in 2011, has proposed strong ideas about Loudoun's growth and planning, and voters should give him a listen. But without the support of a political committee or much cash on hand, Bellanca's campaign is a long shot – and that's putting it mildly.

Virginia Senate's 13th District
Incumbent Republican Richard Black; Democrat Jill McCabe

The firebrand Dick Black is fighting McCabe and tens of thousands of dollars from outside groups like Emily's List and Planned Parenthood, not to mention the all-out endorsement of Gov. Terry McAuliffe's operation. The governor and state Democrats are hell-bent on flipping control of the 21-Republican-19-Democrat Senate back their way.

Black, a staunch fiscal and social conservative, has the unwavering support of his Republican base and shows no signs of struggling to raise cash.

The way the district is drawn, the incumbent seems to have the slightest of advantages, but McCabe is focused on defining herself as a pragmatic, education-first Democrat, while talking about her experience as a pediatric doctor and medical executive.

Virginia House of Delegates' 87th District
Republican Chuong Nguyen; Democrat John Bell

Eighty-seventh District contests have been some of the tightest in the state in recent cycles, and with current Del. David Ramadan (R) not seeking re-election, the 2015 race is a true toss-up.

Bell is making his third run for public office – the second for this seat – while Nguyen, an immigrant from South Vietnam, is an enthusiastic newcomer and part of the local GOP's new wave of diverse candidates.

The central issues for the two candidates and how they engage voters remains to be seen, but we expect that to change come the home stretch of September and October.

Virginia House of Delegates' 86th District
Republican Danny Vargas; Democrat Jennifer Boysko

This race is similar to the 87th, although the district's boundaries are a little more favorable to Boysko, a women's health and public education proponent who lost to retiring Republican Del. Tom Rust by less than 100 votes after a recount in 2013.

While operatives on both sides say the shifting demographics of the Reston-Herndon-Sterling area are more friendly to Democrats than Republicans, the GOP found a strong candidate in Vargas, a well-liked businessman making his first run for public office.

Democrats view both this seat and the 87th as a prime opportunity to secure two new spots in the GOP-dominated House.

Loudoun County Board of Supervisors' Sterling District
Incumbent Republican Eugene Delgaudio; Democrat Koran Saines

Can anyone unseat Eugene Delgaudio? That has become the refrain for Loudoun County government observers in recent years, as they've watched Delgaudio lambaste the gay community, pick verbal fights with elected officials of all levels and engage in questionable fundraising practices.

Still, Democrats have to prove they can put up a candidate that will match the energy and community involvement of Delgaudio.

Saines picked up some momentum in July with the endorsement of the Dulles Area Association of Realtors, one of only two Democrats to do so.

Loudoun County Board of Supervisors' Broad Run District
Republican Ron Meyer; Democrat Al Nevarez

In this contest to succeed one-term Supervisor Shawn Williams, Meyer has excelled in raising money and knocking on doors. While Broad Run is one of the most evenly-drawn districts among Board of Supervisor slots, Nevarez, who lost the 2011 Sterling election to Delgaudio, has some catching up to do in terms of cash, momentum and presence.


I guess we should ask the same question of Resnick. He asks if Volpe is “cozy” with land developers?
Any names to go along with you innuendo, sonny? No!
Miller and Smith? Negative Andrew!
Toll Brothers? Negative Andrew!
Pulte? Negative Andrew! ...
A pledge and hyperbole don’t make a good platform for anyone even Andrew Resnick!

So poor old Dick Black is fighting tens of thousands from Planned Parenthood and Emily’s list?  Can you document that?

The vpap.org site does show Dick Black getting healthy funding from groups outside the 13th district, but I don’t see the funding or groups you mention offering any money to Ms. McCabe.

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