Open letter to the Board of Supervisors: Chairwoman Phyllis Randall (D) wrote us, "I don’t feel my opinion or even my deep desire to move to Phase I should carry the day. I have to rely on the experts.”

Please release immediately the data model that shows the human costs of the lockdown. We have models for everything—including many things where we don’t have exact inputs for every scenario. The COVID-19 models are a great example. So certainly, you must be making your decision taking into account the number of people that will die from suicide, delayed medical care, loss of access to mental health care, crime, domestic abuse, poverty and general despair, right? After peak unemployment of the Great Depression, over the next 3 years U.S. life expectancy dropped 4.5 years. What is the estimate for this economic disaster?

If you don’t have this data, then how are you counting the cost of full lockdown versus targeted effort to protect the most vulnerable? The answer is you are going on “opinion” or “deep desire” that full lockdown is better. Saying you are relying on data, science or experts is lying when only measuring one side of the equation. You only have wishful thinking that data on lockdown impacts gets delayed and diffused so you aren't held accountable. You don’t even have an educated estimate on whether you are making things better or worse.

Stop lying about data reliance. Stop moving the goalposts. Be leaders and find a balanced solution that helps everyone.

Mitch Turner


(1) comment


Personally I think you are wrong. Most of the counties around us have restrictions or are completely shut down, including in Maryland< DC, and west Virginia. As Birx said the DC metro area is a hot spot right now. Too many people that live in Loudoun work in those other areas.

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